Economy on a Page
A real-time cockpit synthesizing US fiscal health, monetary yield curves, purchasing power, commodities, and real economy stress.
US Debt expanding by ~$1M every 15 seconds. Annual interest exceeds $1.1 Trillion.
Nominal 10Y Yield at 5.18%. Real 10Y Yield positive (+2.10%). Yield curve un-inverting.
CPI YoY at 3.4%. Gold ($4,200+) and hard assets outperforming cash as debasement hedge.
1. Fiscal & National Debt
Federal debt accumulation, deficit spending, and debt-to-GDP trajectory.
2. Monetary Policy & Yields
Federal Reserve policy rates, treasury yield curves, and real interest yields.
3. Purchasing Power & CPI
Consumer inflation rates, M2 monetary aggregate growth, and household savings.
4. Hard Assets & Hedges
Precious metals, energy commodities, and sovereign monetary alternatives.
5. Real Economy & Housing
Real estate price indices, mortgage interest rates, labor, and consumer debt stress.
THE NARRATIVE BEHIND THE GAUGES // RECOMMENDED BRIEFINGS
The Bricks & Mortar Mirage: Reading the Case-Shiller Index in 2026
At 329.9, home prices appear resilient despite 6.5% mortgages. Here is how to decode the real inventory lock-in and debt servicing freeze.
The Econometrics of the Dollar Menu: The Burger Standard (2014–2026)
Official CPI measures cumulative inflation at 36.4%. Everyday consumer goods show prices doubled. Welcome to the honest standard of living metric.
FREQUENT QUESTIONS // MACRO INTEL
[01] What is the single best indicator of US economic health? +
No single metric tells the whole story. Observers watch the 10-Year vs 2-Year Treasury yield curve for recession warnings, M2 money supply velocity for inflation pressure, and debt-to-GDP for long-term sovereign solvency.
[02] Why does an inverted yield curve predict a recession? +
Investors normally demand higher interest rates to tie up money for 10 years than for 2 years. When 2-year yields climb above 10-year yields, bond markets expect near-term economic distress and future central bank rate cuts.
[03] What is the difference between CPI inflation and asset inflation? +
Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures everyday retail items like groceries, electricity, and apparel. Asset inflation appears in housing, land, stocks, and hard assets. When money supply expands, asset prices usually run up first before consumer price indices react.
[04] Why does national debt growth cause price inflation? +
When government borrowing outpaces private investor demand, newly created currency enters the banking system to fund Treasury bills. More paper dollars chasing a finite supply of goods and services inevitably bids up prices. Track the live expansion on our U.S. National Debt Clock.